Chapter 1

Events

Sample spaces

The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is its sample space, written . For one roll of a die, .

An event is a subset of . "Roll an even number" is the event .

Operations on events

Events combine like sets. In the figure, the overlap of the two circles is .

events

NotationRead asMeaning
or at least one happens
and both happen
not does not happen
disjointthey cannot both happen

Axioms of probability

Probability

A function assigns every event a number in such that

  1. ;
  2. for pairwise disjoint events , .

Inclusion–exclusion

For any events and ,

The subtracted term is exactly the overlap in the figure: and each counted it once.

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